Administrative transformation in any governance system stems from changes in approaches and perspectives, and this process is accompanied by a redefinition of concepts and understandings. The policies communicated by the Supreme Leader have faced various challenges and obstacles at different levels of the administrative system, which has led to the formulation of strategies aimed at addressing these issues. The present study explores these strategies.

The main objective of this research is to conduct a futures study and scenario planning for the future of administrative transformation using Cross-Impact Analysis and the Cross-Impact Balance (CIB) method. The findings of the study pertain to the year 1403, which is also considered the future horizon of the research. In the first stage, questionnaires were distributed to 20 experts in the fields of administrative transformation and cultural policymaking. In the second and third stages, panels consisting of 20 experts were also formed. The scores were entered into a cross-impact matrix in order to assess the degree of influence and dependence of each factor.

The binary variables were analyzed in MICMAC software as inputs for ScenarioWizard, resulting in the identification of seven compatible scenarios. The most desirable scenario is one in which administrative transformation in society is characterized by receptiveness and flexibility, and progresses gradually. In such a scenario, all decisions are made fairly and justly. Moreover, all information regarding ongoing processes, as well as the rights and entitlements of the people, is made available to the public, with no room for secrecy or concealment. The first scenario is stable, fair, and accountable; therefore, Scenario One is considered the most desirable scenario.